The Global Futures Forecast is a trend analysis of what’s coming this year from Dr. James Canton, the Institute for Global Futures. What’s on the horizon.
Just published at www.FutureGuru.com the Global Futures Forecast. Future of water, network agility, innovation, mobile, youth dissent, cyberhacking…
See www.futureguru.com for the full publication GFF 2012
The 4 P’s of medicine: Prediction, Personalization, Prevention and Promotion will redefine medicine in the near future over the next 3-10 years–maybe sooner.
Prediction will be possible due to a new era of bioinformatics and personal DNA sequencing and ultimately a new mass epidemiology and genomic public health that’s coming. We will map diseases, geomaps that will tell us who and where people get sick.
We will know more about who gets sick and why, the patterns and maps of predicting disease will reveal this in our lifetimes. Today we have a predictive model to determine 70-80% of illness. Tomorrow 95%.
Personalized medicine, targeted at individuals, using massive supercomputing resources to identify genomic precursors and biotags that signal disease is next. From fMRI’s to Health Profiling is coming. Jobs, insurance, dating, marriage, crime and sports will be influenced in nefarious ways not all ethically hard to imagine–think You are your DNA.
Prevention will be possible when we have mastered the medical knowledge engineering of prediction–genomic, behavioral, neural, biological etc. We will know before we can predict, as we do now with certain Cancers and other diseases. Amazing how little people can know but choose not to.
I was giving a keynote on the future of medicine to an affluent group of business leaders in Washington DC and less then 20% of the audience were talking statins to prevent heart disease. Disturbing given the knowledge that statins reduce the risk of heart disease and can even retard and prevent heart disease by 30-50%.
Promoting healthy behaviors as well as prevention and personalized medical treatments is the fourth force. A society that wants to live long and prosper must promote healthy policies and practices. Promotion will become a national security issue if your society is depopulating like Italy or Japan.
Business can do much to tie jobs, incentives, bonuses and advancement to health. Enhance your health and advance your career. A new work ethic may be born.
The whole idea of health enhancement, the by product of these four forces that will shape the future of medicine is that individuals may choose to go beyond their limitations of age, health and even what it is to be human in normal society. Vast new choices to enhance ones intelligence or stamina will be offered in the near future. Think legal drugs that refresh your memory–Viagra for the Mind and enable your to access entirely new parts of your brain or your networked brain–in the Cloud.
Oh the places we could go…